Monday, May 10, 2010

UK Elections Under MMP

What if the UK had a version of MMP and vote exactly the same way they did on Thursday.

Based on Numbers from
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/

Below is a comparison of the results with different Thresholds and a different method of allocating seats
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%27Hondt_method
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sainte-Lagu%C3%AB_method

UK Election Result 2010 FPP Election 4% d'Hondt 3% Sainte-Laguë
Conservative 307 243 238
Labour 258 197 197
Liberal Dem 57 162 159
UKIP 0 9 16
BNP 0 3 4
Green 1 1 1
SNP 6 12 12
Plaid Cymru 3 5 5
DUP 8 5 5
UCU 0 3 3
SDLP 3 3 3
Alliance 1 1 1
Sinn Fein 5 5 5
Ind Unionist 1 1 1
Total 650 650 650







England Under 4% d'Hondt

Conservative Labour Liberal Dem UKIP BNP Green
North East 7 14 7 0 1 0
Nort West 26 32 17 0 0 0
Yorkshire / Humber 19 20 13 0 2 0
West Midlands 25 19 13 2 0 0
East Midlands 21 15 10 0 0 0
Eastern 29 12 15 2 0 0
South West 25 8 20 2 0 0
South East 43 14 23 3 0 1
London 27 29 17 0 0 0
England Total 222 163 135 9 3 1

England Under 3% Sainte-Laguë

Conservative Labour Liberal Dem UKIP BNP Green
North East 7 14 7
1
Nort West 25 31 17 2

YorkShire / Humber 19 20 13
2
West Midlands 25 19 13 2

East Midlands 19 14 10 2 1
Eastern 28 12 15 3

South West 24 9 19 3

South East 43 14 22 4
1
London 27 29 17


England Total 217 162 133 16 4 1

Scotland and Northern Ireland are identical with both thresholds. The only difference in Wales is 1 extra seat to the Liberal Democrats (using the Sainte-Laguë compared to d'Hondt) at the expense of Labour.


Scotland Wales

FPP Either FPP d'Hondt Sainte-Laguë
Conservative 1 10 8 11 11
Labour 41 26 26 8 9
Liberal Dem 11 11 3 16 15
SNP 6 12


Plaid Cymru

3 5 5
Total
59
40 40



Northern Ireland

FPP Either
DUP 8 5
UCU 0 3
Ind Unoinist 1 1
Total Unionists 9 9



SDLP 3 3
Sinn Fein 5 5
Total Nationalists




Alliance 1 1
Total 18 18